Research — March 2026

Where Affordable Housing Is Failing the Midwest

A three-part analysis of LIHTC production gaps, post-pandemic displacement, and the housing need-supply crisis across 12 Midwestern states. Built from HUD and Census Bureau public data.

12 States11,334 LIHTC Projects1,055 Counties14 Maps & ChartsMarch 2026

Key Findings

Part I

The LIHTC Opportunity Gap

Ohio leads the Midwest with 105,000 low-income units produced. Wisconsin has produced only 39 units per 1,000 renters — a structural underinvestment compounded over decades. Illinois and North Dakota show zero recent pipeline activity.

Part II

The Post-Pandemic Displacement Index

Brown County, NE saw a 76% rent increase against only 20% income growth since 2019. North Dakota, Iowa, and Nebraska rank as the most displaced states. Rural and suburban counties are absorbing the greatest affordability squeeze.

Part III

The Need-Supply Gap

Wisconsin has a gap score of 4.75 — meaning 1,576 severely burdened renters for every new low-income unit produced since 2015. This is a critical finding that represents both a crisis and a clear investment opportunity.

Full Report

Midwest Housing Intelligence Brief

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Source: HUD LIHTC Database 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau ACS 2023 · Canopy Civic Atlas analysis

What This Means for You

This brief is the proof of work. The engagement is the application.

The analysis in this brief is the kind of intelligence we deliver in every engagement — but focused on your specific market, your specific geography, your specific question. If you are a LIHTC developer or CDFI evaluating a market in the Midwest, we can build the same rigor around your decision.